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Daily Thoughts ( סיא'ז שוויר צו זענ א ''ד )

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Elections 2012 the day before


No ill fillings for anybody, just a pure data after analysis of a bunch polls performed by nonpartisan comities the day before the election, as well as taking under consideration Gallop, CNN and FoxNews pall I came down to conclusion, that election going to be decided by the single  state  - which is OHIO. OHIO is a state which will pick who’ll be a president for a next four years.

I am not in a favor of wining of either candidate, and my prediction is not based on favorability or dislike to any of them, it is just pure numbers and the way they were presented to me by poll takers and my pure sense of logic.  The elections going to be a very close one, if not the closes ever I predict 50/50 in popular vote, and could assume that the winner of popular vote will not be necessary the  winner of election.

And now my prediction.

                 Senate and House will virtually be unchanged, accept   some of the states will exchange the senators from Democrat to Republican and vice versa.
Dem  ->  Rep ( Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota)
Rep  ->  Dem  ( Massachusetts, Maine, Indiana)

 In a local races ( House ( in Illinois))
Dems will pick up 8th congressional district , and have very good chance to pick up the 10th .


President Election

I would think Obama will keep his job for a next 4 years, however with much lesser margin of victory than 4 years ago.

My  prediction:

                                                              Obama – 303 electoral votes
                                                              Romney – 235 electoral votes

                                                                                Or
                                                                Obama – 290 electoral votes

                                                                Romney – 248 electoral votes

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